Live Soccer Betting Strategy!
As we mentioned in our previous article, today the live betting is getting more and more popular. Because of that in this article we are going to share with you the best strategy that you can use if you decide to use live betting!
The live betting is more interesting because there are huge numbers of potential goals in any match and it only needs a second for a goal to be scored but still the actual number of goals is very small since goals are rare in soccer (football). The goals are random and one goal does not trigger further goals. That is why we are going to explain to you how to predict this since it is rare and random.
From the beginning of the match until 15th minute there is 12.6% of a goal to be scored, from 16 to 30 there is 13.7%, from 31-45 there is 17.3%, from 46 to 60 there is 16.2%, from 61-75 there is 17.9% and from 76-90 there is 22.3%. This means that most goals are being scored by the end of the match.
This data is only for the Premier League and if we look at the Reading’s games for season 2012/13 from the beginning of the match until 15th minute there is 12.5% of a goal to be scored, from 16 to 30 19.4%, from 31 to 45 12.5%, from 46-60 8.3%, from 61-75 22.2% and from 76 to 90 37.5%.
Today we have access to a lot of information thanks to the internet. So you can check out shots, corners and % possession and all of these can lead you to successful goal prediction.
Here is an example:
Real Madrid and Barcelona played on January 30th in 2013 at the Bernabeu and Real in the first half was leading and in-running bettors probably made a mistake with predicting the final outcome because of the happenings in the first half of the match.
There is another great example of misleading game stats and that is Bayern Munich playing against Chelsea at the Champions league final in 2012. Chelsea had tactical intention to put pressure and they tried to land a lucky counter-punch and they followed their game plan and they won on penalties at the end. If bettors watched the game live and wanted to bet, they would probably felt like it is insane to place your bet on Chelsea to win.
The crowd intensity, adrenalin and situational factors can skew the balance of possession and there are some basic examples:
-cup games (especially with unbalanced match-ups).
In situations like that you should see the game as two separate halves because if you are a bettor that can be a really smart move.